Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Stephen F. Austin (17-36) | 11 | 6 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 7 | -1.5 | 60% | ✔ | |
Abilene Christian (17-33) | 7 | 8 | -2.0 | 58% | 6 | +1.5 | 40% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Lamar (19-36) | 9 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 51% | ✘ | |
Incarnate Word (29-26) | 3 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | 5 | -0.5 | 49% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Central Arkansas (32-25) | 4 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +2.0 | 39% | ✘ | |
New Orleans (29-32) | 2 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 6 | -2.0 | 61% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
McNeese State (24-33) | 0 | 5 | +2.0 | 42% | ✔ | 4 | +3.0 | 33% | ✔ | |
Nicholls State (28-32) | 1 | 7 | -2.0 | 58% | 7 | -3.0 | 67% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (28-26) | 6 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 3 | +2.5 | 33% | ✘ | |
Northwestern State (38-24) | 1 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | 6 | -2.5 | 67% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Dallas Baptist (42-21) | 9 | 6 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 6 | -1.0 | 56% | ✔ | |
Sam Houston State (39-20) | 7 | 7 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | +1.0 | 44% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Houston Baptist (29-30) | 1 | 4 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 2 | +2.5 | 36% | ✔ | |
Southeastern Louisiana (37-22) | 4 | 5 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -2.5 | 64% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 29%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 57%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 29%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 57%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.